Stable touts can deplete your cash flow
NICK IN NEWMARKET
IRC’s Saturday Newsletter
There are no hard and fast rules for betting on racing. Everyone’s got their own system. Some take hours studying form and analysing times. Others follow stable form, wait for horses to start running well and then strike while the iron is hot. Your casual racegoer often goes on names, recognised jockeys and the fashionistas seem to pick on the design of the silks. Each to their own.
But if I was to offer advice to anyone new to the game it would be this. Don’t believe everything you hear. Find a few trusted sources and stick to those. If you believed every person attached to a yard you’d be heading for the poor house very quickly.
There are exceptions to this. For example when something is absolutely scorching up the Al Bahathri usually in the John Gosden or William Haggas string and there are plenty of witnesses who can back up the version of events. But on the whole I’ve learnt very quickly that most of the time there’s no such thing as a certainty.
I failed to heed my own advice yesterday when I received a text message, totally out of the blue with three horses. All at Doncaster. Given the random nature of the text I opted to lay out a small amount of my SkyBet account to test the waters and see how this source went. A small investment on a treble for the afternoon.
Bang. The first one went in. Bang. The second one got home. By a nose. But the number was in the frame. Suddenly the cash out became appealing but what the hell. Let it ride. A small outlay for a 14/1 return seemed appealing. And besides, the random nature of the text message suggested that someone knew something.
It came down to the final leg. A two mile contest at Doncaster in the spring sunshine. The field set off and in the early part things were looking OK. The tipped horse smuggled into the race having opted to bide its time near the rear. And then came the moment that the realisation hit. Never listen to unsolicited advice.
The horse foundered four furlongs from home and hit a massive flat spot. That’s it. The fun was over. But then as the front runners grew weary after the stamina sapping contest suddenly the tip was bearing down on them, the leader crying for the line. The fancy making ground but leaving it late. The line came. Too late! Second. The losing margin was a head. Almost.
Enough to suggest that perhaps I give the source one more try.
Speaking of trusted sources, the International Racing Club’s members only service has been in fine form of late with a winning greyhound and some confidence from inside the camp ahead of a nice 11/2 winner last week. I’d highly recommend signing up.
In other whispers from Newmarket, here’s one for the layers. Word on the street is that the favourite for the 1,000 Guineas may be in a race against time to make it to the start of the first Classic of the season at the Rowley Mile after a bit of a scare. Still needs to be verified.
Five flat meetings and a solitary jumps card make up today’s racing action. Charlie Appleby has five runners today with four going to Leicester and a single horse going to Haydock and New Comedy (11/8) looks like being a winner early on the afternoon for the boys in blue in the 1.00.
Apex King is an interesting runner in the last at the same meeting with Tom Marquand booked for the 12/1 chance and this looks an eachway possibility having had a comeback run on the turf at Windsor recently.
The 2.40 looks a hot race with Nashwa having to prove her credentials as an Oaks filly while there may be a couple of decent fillies in this. Irresistable shapes as a possible danger having made a pleasing debut at Newmarket 11 days ago as does Love Interest although she carries a penalty. Definitely a race worth watching.
The same could be said for the 3.51 at Leicester where the top two in the market could be very good along with a couple of others in this for big name yards. It is interesting that William Buick seems to have chosen Last Ammo, a 9/2 chance making its turf debut, in the 2.10 with young apprentice Harry Davies keeping the ride on Deciduous for the same stable.
At Ripon, there is a big priced fancy in the opener with The Twilight Lady doing enough on debut to suggest that she may benefit from that experience having fluffed her lines at the start. She’s 14/1 for the Ben Curtis and Roger Fell combination and makes eachway appeal.
Curtis looks to have another good chance in the 3.28 (what’s going on with these race times today) when he gets aboard Noman. The danger here is State of Bliss.
One interest on the Doncaster card is the Richard Hannon entrant in the 7.35. The 5/1 about Gustav Holst seems a nice price to get involved in and this horse is up three pounds but wasn’t far off winning at Windsor earlier this month.
It doesn’t look a weekend to get involved in any football accumulators with a few trappy looking Premier League fixtures so a very racing heavy column this week. Tyson Fury is expected to win his fight against Dillian Whyte but it makes no appeal as a betting spectacle.
Photo: Gustav Holst, Doncaster Saturday.